The Intrade prediction market still has Obama’s re-election chances at 62.5%, which is up from last week, but there is one nagging worry for me. If you dig into the Ohio poll details you will see that Obama’s lead is … Continue reading →
In the prediction markets, Obama’s re-election chances have been climbing again each day this week. On 10/24 Intrade predicted a 56.7% chance for re-election. Yesterday it was a 61.8% chance. And today it’s considered to be a 63.9% chance to … Continue reading →
As we head into the home stretch, Intrade’s chances for Obama’s re-election have increased in recent days to about 62% to 38% this morning. Also, the very reputable Iowa Electronic Markets (run by the University of Iowa and a legally … Continue reading →
FiveThirtyEight seems to have the most detailed information of all the places I’ve been following this election cycle. It’s a good read. Better than reading my blog posts for sure. 🙂 I recommend checking it out if you haven’t already: … Continue reading →